2027 Tensions: Buhari's CPC Bloc May Dump APC Amid Post-Death Political Shifts

The passing of former President Muhammadu Buhari has set the stage for a fresh round of political realignments ahead of the 2027 general elections, with signs that loyalists of the defunct Congress for Progressive Change (CPC)

Buhari’s original political platform may be preparing to break ranks with the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC).

Founded by Buhari in 2009, the CPC was a cornerstone of the APC merger in 2013. However, since President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s victory in 2023, many within the CPC bloc have found themselves politically sidelined, leading to growing dissent within the party.

Buhari’s death, according to analysts, could accelerate the fragmentation of the APC, especially as key CPC-era figures including former Kaduna State Governor Nasir El-Rufai, ex-Secretary to the Government of the Federation Babachir Lawal and Hon Chukwuemeka Nwajiuba PhD the former minister of state education have publicly criticized Tinubu’s leadership and questioned his prospects for re-election in 2027.

Former Head of State, General Abdulsalami Abubakar (rtd), captured the political mood succinctly, stating, “With the passing away of Buhari, politics in Nigeria will certainly change — I hope for the better.”

Emerging tensions between the APC and the African Democratic Congress (ADC) further highlight this shifting political terrain. The ADC appears to be actively courting Buhari’s support base, with party officials claiming that several of his staunch allies have already joined their ranks.

“Most of the Buhari loyalists are already with us,” said Bolaji Abdullahi, interim National Publicity Secretary of the ADC. “The majority of them, the entire North, is already aligning with our party.”

Abdullahi listed high-profile names now working with the ADC coalition, including Babachir Lawal, former Attorney-General Abubakar Malami, ex-Communications Minister Isa Ali Pantami, former Education Minister Chukwuemeka Nwajiuba, Nasir El-Rufai, former Transport Minister Rotimi Amaechi, and ex-Interior Minister Rauf Aregbesola.

With just under two years to the next election cycle, the late president’s enduring political legacy a loyal following estimated at over 12 million — is now the prize in a high-stakes battle for Nigeria’s northern electorate.

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